The 'big three' – HIV, TB & malaria

By Impact Global Health 29 January 2025

10 min read
Neglected DiseasesHIV/AIDSTuberculosisMalaria

Overview

HIV R&D fell to a record low, while both TB and malaria saw increased funding

The ‘big three’ diseases – HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria – remained the top recipients of disease-specific R&D funding in 2023, as they have been, in some order, since the survey began in 2007. Together, they continued to account for 80% of disease-specific global funding, and around two-thirds of the overall total.

HIV/AIDS

Global funding for HIV R&D totalled $1,269m in 2023. This was a decrease of 11% (down $143m) from 2022, leaving funding at an all-time low, 28% below its 2019 peak, following significant decreases from the two top funders: industry and the US NIH.

As in all previous years, the majority of funding went to vaccine R&D ($671m, 53%), followed by basic research ($211m, 17%) and drugs ($188m, 15%). Funding fell across all product areas except for diagnostics, headlined by a further $58m (-23%) reduction in drug R&D, which is now down more than $120m from its 2021 peak.

Essentially all LMIC-targeted HIV drug investment came from just three funders – industry, US NIH and the Gates Foundation. It was steep cuts in industry’s drug funding (down $52m, -32%) that were responsible for most of this year’s sharp decline. This reduction in private sector drug R&D followed two years of record-breaking investment, and was partly due to the discontinuation of a daily oral candidate.

Investment for HIV vaccine R&D also fell, to a record low $671m (down $32m, -6%), as industry funding dropped by half following the discontinuation of late-stage vaccine candidate after two failed clinical trials. Vaccine funding from the US DOD suddenly dropped to zero (down from $13m and from $36m in 2021), overshadowing a substantial increase from the Gates Foundation (up $11m, 20%) as their vaccine funding to IAVI and industry rose sharply.

Future Funding

In 2024 HIV/AIDS drug R&D funding received $6.9 million under the EC’s DOLPHIN-3 project, which studies drug optimization for HIV-positive pregnant women and their infants in low- and middle-income countries.

Funding for microbicide R&D fell steeply again (down $18m, -46%), dropping to $21m, well over 90% below its 2008 peak, as the remaining pool of microbicide funders shrank to just three organisations – US NIH, Irish Aid and Grand Challenges Canada. We cover the long-term reduction in microbicide funding, and its partial replacement by multipurpose prevention technologies, in the Discussion.

All three of the largest funders of HIV R&D made significant changes in 2023, which collectively contributed to the record low in overall HIV R&D funding. Industry investment fell by a third (down $75m, -35%), with cuts to both drugs and vaccines, to just over half of its 2021 peak. We consider industry’s gradual shift away from HIV vaccine R&D in more detail in the Discussion. Funding from US NIH fell across almost all product categories (down $55m, -6%), to its lowest level since 2017, while funding from the Gates Foundation rebounded from a historic low (up $12m, 10%). Higher Gates funding was driven by increased vaccine clinical development (up $14m, 157%), most of which went to IAVI and the Collaboration for AIDS Vaccine Discovery network (CAVD), and to industry for human cytomegalovirus-vectored vaccines.

Pipeline Spotlight

Gilead's twice-yearly injectable lenacapavir demonstrated efficacy and superiority to once-daily oral Truvada for HIV prevention in the PURPOSE 1 and 2 trials, with PURPOSE 1 being the first Phase III HIV prevention trial to result in no infections in the lenacapavir arm. Gilead have signed non-exclusive royalty-free voluntary licensing agreements with six high-volume manufacturers ahead of regulatory approval, meaning low-cost generic versions could be available to LMICs soon afterwards.

TB

Funding for tuberculosis rebounded by 9% ($69m) in 2023 to reach $806m, restoring it to just above its 2021 level and taking it to its second highest level on record. The overall increase in funding was driven by a $59m (62%) rise in vaccine R&D, which, building on last year’s growth, reached a record $154m. Diagnostics funding rebounded, rising by $17m (26%) to $82m, its second highest level ever.

While the US NIH remained the largest funder of tuberculosis R&D overall – as it has been every year since 2007 – its funding declined for the fourth consecutive year. Meanwhile the Gates Foundation, the second largest funder, increased its funding by $61m (38%), helping drive the big increases in vaccines and diagnostics. The increases in the Gates Foundation’s vaccine funding, which has more than doubled over the last two years, went mostly to the Gates Medical Research Institute (MRI) towards the development of the M72/AS01E TB vaccine through Phase III – forming part of its 3.5-year overall funding commitment for TB (see Future Funding box). The Gates Foundation's increased investment is offsetting declines elsewhere and emphasises the growing role of private philanthropy in TB research.

TB funding from the NIH is now $80m below its 2019 peak, with a little over half of the fall coming via reductions in its spending on drugs, and such reduction may slow progress in developing new TB treatments. While NIH drug funding fell only slightly in 2023, it came alongside substantial declines in funding from the US CDC (no funding in 2023 after averaging nearly $10m over the preceding decade), the US DOD (down $2.9m, -76%) and industry (down $6.3m, -6%) – all partly, but not entirely, offset by record drug R&D funding from the Gates Foundation. Despite the decline in NIH and overall drug R&D from its 2019 peak, drugs continued to account for 43% of 2023’s TB funding, more than twice the 19% share going to vaccines.

Future Funding

The Gates Foundation has committed $844m to its affiliated research institute, Gates MRI, with $400m expected to go to the Phase III trial of the M72/AS01E vaccine. Well over a year into the grant, only around $133m has been disbursed, implying further increases in TB vaccine funding in the near future.

Pipeline Spotlight

The M72/AS01E vaccine, potentially the first new TB vaccine in 100 years, is undergoing a Phase III trial spanning 60 sites across seven countries to assess its efficacy. The five year study will assess protection of adolescents and adults from pulmonary TB, building on Phase IIb results that showed 50% protection after three years.

Malaria

In 2023, global funding for malaria basic research and product development reached $690 million, reflecting a 9% ($60 million) increase from the previous year. Almost half of this rise, however, was due to new participants in the G-FINDER survey. Funding from ongoing survey participants grew by a more modest 5% – still an encouraging shift after four years of declining funding. Despite the uptick, funding remains at its second-lowest level in the past decade.

Over 90% of the funding from new survey participants was directed towards the clinical development of P. falciparum vaccines. Consequently, measured funding for vaccine R&D rose to its highest level in four years, at $148m (up $36m, 32%), partly reversing the downward trend from its peak in 2017. Funding from the Gates Foundation for vaccine R&D also rebounded (up $15m, 186% from 2022), with the additional funding mainly channelled to the Gates Medical Research Institute. Biologics funding nearly halved to $15m (down $12m, -45%) after last year’s sudden spike, with both rise and fall also driven by the Gates Foundation. Funding for the remaining product areas remained comparatively stable. Diagnostics received the smallest share of funding ($14m, 2%), with funding sitting at 60% of its long-term average due to the gradual disappearance of funding from the UK FCDO, DHSC and Gates Ventures.

The US NIH continued to provide the largest share of malaria funding ($201m, 29%), followed by the Gates Foundation ($181m, 26%). Despite the increasing spread of malaria in the southern United States, funding from the US CDC fell to a record low of $0.3m (down $4.1m, -93%), as did funding from the US DOD, which fell to a low of $7.0m, down 87% from its 2018 level. Partly due to cuts in funding from the US and, in previous years, UK public organisations, the number of funders providing at least $10m in malaria R&D funding has fallen from 15 in 2018 to just 10 in 2023.

New Developments

Funding for malaria vector control R&D was boosted by an $85m grant from the Gates Foundation to IVCC in 2024. This is the largest grant from Gates to IVCC ever recorded, building on $26m of funding in 2023 and $16m in 2022.

Pipeline Updates

The Safety of Antimalarials in the FIrst TRimEster (SAFIRE) consortium will conduct a groundbreaking adaptive platform Phase III trial on antimalarial drugs, evaluating their efficacy, safety, tolerability, and cost-effectiveness in first-trimester pregnant women, a group often excluded from clinical research. The trial will begin by comparing pyronaridine-artesunate with artemether-lumefantrine, the WHO-recommended treatment for uncomplicated malaria during the first trimester, which will serve as the control.

Figure 3: Big three - HIV, TB & Malaria

HIV/AIDS

HIV 2023 top funders
Top Funders
HIV 2023 funding by product
Funding by product
HIV 2023 Pipeline candidates
Pipeline candidates

TB

TB 2023 Top funders
Top funders
TB 2023 Funding by product
Funding by product
TB 2023 Pipeline candidates
Pipeline candidates

Malaria

Malaria 2023 Top funders
Top funders
Malaria 2023 Funding by product
Funding by product
Malaria 2023 Pipeline candidates
Pipeline candidates